Wednesday, February 2, 2011

Corn Bowl XLV

Super Bowl XLV, Steelers and Packers?  Seriously?  Could you pick two cornier franchises?  Heck, one team actually plays in a cornfield.  The Packers and Steelers are the go to choices for football fans who don't like the local team or don't have a local team, making them more annoying than previously stated.  A couple things to remember while ESPN washes you with the glory of these two franchises.  Despite being in a professional football organization for seventeen more seasons than the Cleveland Browns the Steelers have won two fewer championships and despite being the NFL's leader with twelve championships the Packers have won just one since 1967.  Since then ten franchises have won at least two championships.  The Packers and Steelers certainly have earned their respective glories, but in typical ESPN/NFL wonk fashion, it's over played.

Well, now that my bitter feelings are out of the way we can take a look at the game which is a very interesting match up with much more pleasant prospects than listening to Steelers fans or looking at Packers fans.  The game is both an endorsement of the 3-4 defense and a barometer of how important running the football is to the modern NFL.

The Steelers and Packers were the league's top two regular season defenses concerning points allowed respectively and feature aggressive line backers and game changing secondaries.  Both teams are stout against the pass, but as the league's best run defense Pittsburgh holds a significant advantage against the rush.  Both teams have overwhelmed opponents this season with blitzing linebackers, so it will be interesting to see how both teams like a taste of their own medicine.

Green Bay caught a huge break when the Steelers pro bowl center Maurkice Pouncy was injured in the AFC championship game.  It's unclear whether or not Pouncy will be able to play in the Super Bowl, but it is clear that either a banged up Pouncy or his back up will be lined up against the Packers DT B.J. Raji, who may be playing the best football of anybody in league over the last six weeks.  If Pittsburgh is to win the game they will have to pound the Packers on the ground with their bulldozing back Rashard Mendenhall, get into the end zone and not give the Packers star quarterback Aaron Rodgers time to survey the field and find his various explosive receivers.

Green Bay has never trailed a game by more than seven points during this entire season and playoffs, which I find utterly amazing.  They are on a run reminiscent of the 2007 New York Giant that won ten consecutive road games, including three in the playoffs, before knocking off the Super Bowl success laden Patriots.

Official prediction:  Packers 28, Steelers 27

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